Science Workshop

The EMC/MMM/DTC Joint Hurricane Science Workshop

  • Schedule
  • Registration
  • Travel and Lodging
  • Contacts

Agenda

MONDAY, 2/22

  8:30 - 9:00         Continental Breakfast

  9:00 - 9:30         Rick Anthes - Hurricane research from the 1960s to the 1980s and                               a look toward future operational hurricane NWP
  9:30 - 10:00       Bill Read - The evolution of hurricane forecasting and the watch and
                              warning program at the National Hurricane Center
10:00 - 10:30       Kerry Emanuel - Evolution of hurricane science from the 80's to the
                              present

10:30 - 10:45       BREAK

                            Coordination of Hurricane Research with Hurricane Operations
                                   Session Leader: Greg Holland

10:45 - 11:05       Sam Williamson - OFCM: Coordination of the National hurricane
                              program
11:05 - 11:25       Bill Kuo - Support of hurricane transition of research to op: The DTC

                            Societal Impacts

11:25 - 11:45       Rebecca Morss - How do people use hurricane forecasts and
                              warnings?

11:45 - 1:00         LUNCH

                            Hurricane Theory

  1:00 - 1:20         Wayne Shubert - PV Rearrangement in Hurricanes
  1:20 - 1:40         George Bryan - The importance of small-scale turbulence on
                               maximum hurricane intensity
  1:40 - 2:00         Rich Rotunno - Comparison of an analytical and a numerical model for
                               hurricane potential intensity

                            Operational Perspective

  2:00 - 2:20        James Franklin - The evolution and use of objective forecast guidance
                             at NHC

                           Advanced Numerical Guidance and Dynamical Modeling Systems

  2:20 - 2:40       Richard Pasch - Use of dynamical hurricane guidance at NHC & future
                            challenges
  2:40 - 3:00       Jim Goerss - Operational hurricane prediction with global models

  3:00 - 3:20       BREAK

  3:20 - 3:40       Bob Tuleya - Evolution of the GFDL hurricane model in research and
                            transition to NMC operations - 1st regional dynamic hurricane
                            model for operations
  3:40 - 4:00       Naomi Surgi - The development of NHC's operational hurricane WRF
                            (HWRF)
  4:00 - 4:20       Chris Davis - Development of NCAR's Advanced Hurricane Research
                            WRF (AHW)
  4:20 - 4:40       Jim Doyle - Development of the Navy's COAMPS-TC
  4:40 - 5:00       T.N. Krishnamurti - Use of a high resolution multi-model ensemble for
                             track, and intensity - a demo project in the `09 hurricane season
                             using the HWRF, GFDL, AHW and COAMPS

  6:00                  RECEPTION/DINNER Mesa Lab

TUESDAY, 2/23

  8:30 - 9:00         Continental Breakfast

                             Field programs, Observations and Modeling advancements
                                   Session Leader: Naomi Surgi

                             Use of satellite & Insitu Observations in Advancing Hurricane
                               Forecasts

  9:00 - 9:20         Sharan Majumdar (for C. Velden) - Achieving Superior Tropical Cyclone
                               Forecasts by Improving the Assimilation of High-Resolution Satellite
                               Data into Mesoscale Prediction Models
  9:20 - 9:40         Mark DeMaria - Satellite Applications to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting
  9:40 - 10:00       Frank Marks - Use of insitu and remote aircraft observation to
                               advance Tropical Cyclone forecasts

                             Advancing Hurricane Research and Forecasting through Field
                               Programs

10:00 - 10:20       Scott Braun - Advances in hurricane science through NASA field
                               campaigns and satellites
10:20 - 10:30       Chris Davis - PREDICT

10:30 - 10:45       BREAK

10:45 - 11:05       Bob Houze - RAINEX
11:05 - 11:25       Shuyi Chen - CBLAST

                            The Role of the Ocean in Hurricanes

11:25 - 11:45      Nick Shay - Observational basis for importance of ocean in modulating
                             hurricane structure and intensity
11:45 - 12:05      Chris Fairall - The role of sea spray in hurricanes

12:05 - 1:00        LUNCH

  1:00 - 1:20        Isaac Ginis - Modeling hurricane interaction with the ocean
  1:20 - 1:40        Hendrik Tolman - HYCOM/WAVEWATCH III for advancing hurricane
                              forecasts

                           Extended Range of Hurricane Modeling & Forecasts

  1:40 - 2:00       Peter Webster - Extended tropical cyclone prediction on weekly to
                             monthly time scales: Predictability, Prediction and prospects
  2:00 - 2:20       Greg Holland - Modeling Hurricane Extremes at Weather and Climate
                            Scales
  2:20 - 2:40       Russ Elsberry - Intraseasonal Tropical Cyclone Formation and Tracks
                             with the ECMWF Monthly Ensemble Forecasts

  2:40 - 3:15       General Discussion

Registration & Payment

Registration

The is no charge for the two day workshop.
If you have any questions or are unable to register please e-mail: workshop@ucar.edu.

Travel Links

The workshop will be held at the NCAR Foothills Lab, 3450 Mitchell Lane, in Boulder, Colorado. A detailed Boulder Map is available, as well as a more specific NCAR / Hotel map. Below you will find directions from Denver International Airport and transportation links.

When you arrive at Denver International Airport (DIA):

Transportation between the Denver International Airport and Boulder

About Boulder:

Special Lodging Deals

Golden Buff Lodge
1725 28th Street, Boulder, CO 80301
Phone: 1-800-999-2833 or 303-442-7450
Email: bwgoldenbuff@yahoo.com
Website: http://www.goldenbufflodge.com
Rate: $64 plus tax per night
Amenities: Deluxe breakfast coupons for each date of their stay, internet access
When making your reservation please use the following Group Code: "MMM workshops" or "WRF tutorials" to get the special rate.

Homewood Suites
4950 Baseline Road, Boulder 80308
Phone: 303-499-9922
Email: gm@boulderhie.com
Website: http://homewoodsuites1.hilton.com/en_US/hw/hotel/BOUCOHW-Homewood-Suites-by-Hilton-Boulder-Colorado/index.do
Rate: $103 plus tax per night
Amenities: wireless, breakfast, internet, kitchenette, afternoon happy hour featuring a complimentary light meal and beverages Monday through Thursday evenings
When making your reservation please use the following Group Code: "WRF Tutorial".

Transportation

Transportation via NCAR shuttle will be provided each morning and evening to the hotels listed. Please indicate on your registration form if you plan to use this service and at which hotel you are staying.

Contacts